Tag Archives: gold

Ready For The New Bull Market in The Junior Mining Sector?

It is possible we are once again at or near the turning point or bottom in the junior mining sector and near a top in the tech sector. Only a handful of the tech high flyers have pushed the equities higher. Already the transports and utilities have been under-performing. It may be wise to hedge gains made in the S&P500 and Nasdaq and increase accumulation of precious metals and the junior miners near historic lows. July 24, 2015 may have marked an interim low on the GDXJ as it experienced a classic bullish engulfing reversal pattern on high volume. Since this past Monday, support has come into some of our selected miners. If its the beginning of the rally, follow through should occur by the end of this week. I am still cautious as the precious metals rallies have been fake outs in the past. In order to confirm the interim low I would like to see some increased buying before the end of this week.
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Jeb Handwerger: “Picking the top 2 Stocks on OTCQX® in 2014 is a Great Blessing”

In 2014, something very interesting happened. Despite the bear market in the junior sector, two mining companies, which I'm a shareholder of and which I spoke about numerous times in 2014, led the entire OTCQX. No. 1 was Western Lithium USA Corp. (WLC:TSX; WLCDF:OTCQX). No. 2 was NioCorp Developments Ltd. (NB:TSX). Western Lithium had a 2,566% increase in daily trading volume in 2014. NioCorp gained 394% in market cap. They were the top two of the best 50 OTCQX® companies. Picking the top 2 out of 10,000 public companies from all over the world during the worst bear market in mining history and an unprecedented stock market bubble has been a great blessing. This is why investors are attracted to the junior mining sector. If you do your homework and pick the stories that have exceptional fundamentals, you can realize exceptional gains. Two gains like that can offset a lot of losses.
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Major Bullish Breakout in Precious Metals and Copper, Two Junior Miners Lead OTCQX in 2014

Mining is not dead and still leads to the best outsized gains if you do your homework as evidenced by two of our top recommendations in 2014. Two of my featured Junior Mining Stocks lead the entire OTCQX in 2014, a global marketplace with over 10k public companies in all sectors. This is amazing as it occurred during the worst bear market in mining history and the huge bubble in biotech, housing and financials. Despite this macro trend against wealth in the earth assets two of our featured companies rose to the top of the entire marketplace. #1 Western Lithium, #2 Niocorp. Western Lithium had a 2,566% increase in daily traded volume in 2014 while Niocorp gained 394% on the year.
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Watch These 3 Nevada Junior Miners Breaking Out on High Volume

It appears to be that some strategic investors waited for the jobs report before making some important buys. I am witnessing several high volume moves on featured GST companies which I own and are current or past sponsors. It is important to follow the volume in the junior mining sector as that could signal a potential trend change or breakout. Three stocks are breaking out of consolidations on excellent accumulation.
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Fiat Currencies Are Crashing, Precious Metals Are Breaking Out

In late 2014, I expected gold to bottom and that there would be a massive January effect that would lift gold, silver and the junior miners in 2015. Currently, gold is breaking above the critical 200 day moving average and the critical $1300 psychological barrier on a breathtaking move of almost $200 an ounce in less than two months. The period of lower highs appears to have ended. However, it is reaching a short term overbought condition, so a correction or consolidation is warranted and quite healthy. Investors should expect a stabilization and look for a pullback to add to positions. The long term downtrend appears to have ended so the 50 and 200 day moving averages should act as magnets of support not resistance.
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Junior Miner Up 38% This Week on Record 2014 Volume

The Holiday Season is here and a volatile 2014 is coming to a close. Be prepared to pick up quality situations during tax loss selling season. Yesterday we heard the comments from Fed Chairwoman Yellen which appeared to be dovish. Declining commodities and a rising US dollar will put a halt to any interest rate increases. Equities are rallying and following tax loss selling season the TSX Venture which is hitting decade lows may experience a major bounce due to the January Effect. The January Effect often benefits small cap beaten down situations as large investors reposition for 2014. It was interesting to see the reaction after the Fed Meeting going into tax loss selling season. This down period in the resource sector in prior years was followed by a very powerful first quarter. Late December buying has provided some excellent buying opportunities in the resource sector in the past.
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Swiss Vote Could Be Catalyst For Gold To Break Above 5 Month Downtrend

Its not just me that sees the value in gold, but entire nations. The Swiss voters on November 30th will decide to back the Franc with a 20% gold reserve with a pledge never to sell its gold again. If the Swiss approve this they would have to purchase 1,500 tons of the yellow metal. This is a significant amount considering the Russians bought close to 19 tons in October. Demand in China and India is still strong as evidenced by record coin sales and numismatic premiums rising. If the Swiss decide to back their currency it could be a shot heard around the world and could spark a global rush to buy physical gold and silver by other nations. Eventually, that change in psychology could affect our junior mining positions trading at pennies on the dollar to see explosive gains. Many Central Banks around the world have a zero or negative interest policy. This expansion of fiat currency on the market has never occurred before yet investors are flocking to the US dollar in record proportions. However, smart investors are already positioning ahead of the masses. When the US dollar bubble pops and follows other currencies lower, then gold and silver may appear as the new safe haven. It is at this time where our junior miners which are trading at pennies could be trading for dollars.
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Record Volume In GDXJ Junior Gold Miners Could Indicate a Bottom

In a recent landslide election, Republicans took back control of the Senate and House. President Obama's approval rating is very low.  Although there a few making money in the stock market, the majority of the American people are fed up with close to 100 million people not working.  Welfare and entitlement spending is out of control.  The debt is still soaring close to $20 trillion and the dollar is rising making it even harder for politicians and banks to avoid default. Somehow irrationally despite billions of dollars being printed under the guise of QE, the US dollar is rising. The question I ask is how long do you really believe this dead cat bounce in the US dollar will last? It may be just a bounce in a long term downtrend and is only relative to the other fiat currencies in fast decline.  Smart investors should be accumulating gold and silver coins and high quality junior mining stocks trading now at historic lows.  It should be noted that coin sales are picking up especially mint grade numismatics.
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Gold and Silver Still In Major Uptrend On Long Term Charts

The Chinese and Russians were some of the largest acquirers of physical gold. Also large hedge funds some managed by industry giants such as Paulson, Soros, Rogers and Einhorn began buying ETF's and junior miners. This led to a parabolic and overbought move in precious metals, which I cautioned my readers about in the referenced article above. It should be noted a few days after this article was published silver topped at $50 and gold rolled over a few months later at $1900.
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M&A In Junior Gold Sector Heating Up with Agnico Eagle Acquisition

I have been forecasting for many months that the majors will begin making acquisitions for high quality junior mining companies. Yesterday, major gold miner Agnico Eagle (AEM) agreed to buy early stage Mexican explorer Cayden Resources (CYD.V) for over $200 million in a friendly takeover deal. Agnico gets Cayden's two gold prospects near Goldcorp (GG). Cayden recently hit some good drill results and they announced some preliminary metallurgy, but it is a long way from being a mine. Personally I am quite surprised at Agnico's move. Cayden always appeared to me to be overvalued. I could argue that if recent drill results are worth over $200 million than explorers like Corvus and Canamex are significantly undervalued as their results may be much better as the drill results are better and they are in Nevada which is a much better jurisdiction then Mexico. Agnico may be up to something with Goldcorp. Do not forget Agnico outbid Goldcorp for Osisko and now Agnico comes into Goldcorp country in Mexico. Cayden borders Goldcorp in Mexico and seemed a likely Goldcorp takeover candidate. Agnico may be positioning itself for a merger with Goldcorp. It may be safe to say that Cayden is fairly valued at $200 million. With this recent deal I believe some of our featured juniors such as Red Eagle (RD.V or RDEMF) are significantly undervalued.
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