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Posts Tagged ‘investing’

DIA Showing Distribution

In Market Analysis on June 10, 2009 at 8:17 pm

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Dia 6-10

I posted a few days ago that DIA is approaching resistance at 9000 and this rise has been on light volume.  Some people have said that is because of  summer where trading decreases.  However, there is a lot of money sitting on the sidelines.  If it was a true beginning of a bull then it would appear in the volume.

Therefore, I have been skeptical of this rise and I am very skeptical of this market after three days of increasing selling.  I expect a sell off.

This begs the question what about our stock positions in TGB, NGD, GMO, and UXG.  We need to be aware of the overall U.S. Market, however there still is strength in emerging markets so I am not prepared to sell my positions in these companies.  Stay tuned and I will notify if we have to take our trailing stops.

Car Sales Soar in China

In Stock Movers on June 9, 2009 at 11:56 pm

Base metals soared today as car sales in China are increasing at a rapid pace.  Taseko, New Gold and General Moly are  companies with huge deposits that have not been developed.  TGB and NGD are producing now so they will have cash flow.

Inflation is kicking in and the long term prospects of these companies are excellent.  I would buy GMO on any further weakness.  Molybdenum is used in making steel stronger and withstand greater heat and pressure.

gmo 5-29

UXG about to breakout of symmetrical triangle near 52 week high.  Notice how the volume is confirming price.  Again its giving us another opportunity to get into this position with an incredible land position in Nevada and great opportunity in Mexico.  This company has the top management in the business where the owner puts his money where his mouth is.  Rob Mcewen owns a good percentage of this company.

UXG

UXG

GDX Chart Analysis 6-9-09

In Market Analysis on June 9, 2009 at 7:17 pm

GDX 6-9-09

On a previous update I mentioned not to get too excited by buying the miners when they are overextended.  Look for strength as the mining index will come back to support which was previous resistance at 37.50.  Notice the upward sloping trendline that will act as support as well.  Coincidentally it appears as the 20 day on the weekly chart is very close to this trendline.

New Gold(NGD) Second Chance to Purchase

In Stock Movers on June 8, 2009 at 3:51 pm

NGD came to its 20 day moving average and is closing at the high of the day reversing from being down most of the day shaking out weak hands.  Buy at 2.65.

Stock Market Update. Important Week for DOW. 6-6-09

In Market Analysis on June 8, 2009 at 8:53 am

dia 6-7-09

Major resistance is being approached for the DOW.  Notice the trendline and resistance where it failed three times in December of 08.  Overhead resistance and lack of volume on the recent rally tells us to be careful and to be ready for a shorting opportunity.  Stay Tuned!  Make sure you have trailing stops set up.

China Buying Gold

In Market Analysis on June 8, 2009 at 8:36 am

China is buying gold like crazy!

http://www.chinamining.org/News/2009-06-08/1244423563d25443.html

Interesting Stock Chart on China

In Market Analysis on June 7, 2009 at 8:40 pm

FXI 6-6-09Notice the thick blue line and how FXI (25 largest and most liquid China Stocks) crosses that trendline on the point and figure chart.  This shows us the strength of the most leading emerging market and how this market had impacted this rally for the past three months since the March bottom.

It is clear that China is buying up natural resources and stimulating their economy.  The real estate market and construction industries in China are heating up.  They are building power plants, mines and roads.

There are a few signs that there might be a slight short term pullback the next few weeks from the non confirmation in relative strength and low volume.  However, this is the time to get into companies that the Chinese need which have huge amounts of natural resources.

The secret is out China is on the search for precious metals and natural resources.  These next couple of days will give second chances to get into companies that have those assets.

We know what the Chinese need and are able tom make huge gains in finding the companies that have the greatest leverage to these necessities.

NGD Update 6-6-09

In Stock Movers on June 6, 2009 at 10:24 pm

pf ngd 6-6-09

Notice the break through the trendlines which is confirmed on our point and figure chart.

ngd 6-6

Everything looks OK at the moment.  Be prepared for a breakout of this bull flag pattern as NGD approaches its 20 day moving average.

Resistance on GDX (Gold Miner ETF)

In Market Analysis on June 4, 2009 at 11:51 pm

gdx 6-4-09We wanted to show a 2 year chart on GDX gold miner etf.  There is major resistance at the $45 dollar area which needs to be broken.  In order to do that I would not be surprised of a short term correction to the $39 area.  This is where I would wait so that the GDX comes off its overbought status and prepare for the next leg up.

Our Stocks 6-4-09

In Stock Movers on June 4, 2009 at 6:04 pm

BARE did not trigger a buy as we had the buy point at 10.51…maybe it will hit that tomorrow.

TGB was up but it does have resistance at the $2 area which it will take some time to breakthrough.

NGD was unchanged and is now building a “handle.”

UXG was up around 6% and closed at the high of the day.  Look for a breakout through $2.75.

GMO was up 10% today on good volume exactly how we saw it would play out.

We are long these four positions TGB,NGD,UXG and GMO.

Geithner and Bernanke

In Market Analysis on June 4, 2009 at 10:25 am

How hypocritical!  Bernanke came out yesterday requesting Congress to curb budget deficits after increasing the money supply exponentially.  Use this time period to look for additional opportunities to get into the best commodity opportunities.  NGD, TGB, GMO and UXG are great low priced positions that will move higher in an inflationary environment.

Stock Pick for 6-4-09 (NOT a Mining Stock)

In Stock Movers on June 3, 2009 at 7:05 pm

I sometimes include on this blog for some of our followers some tradeable picks that are not mining stocks.

This pick is gaining popularity as a healthy cosmetic company with environmentally friendly products and excellent earnings growth and return on equity.

The company is Bare Escentuals (BARE).

BARE 6-3-09

BARE is about to break out of a bullish symmetrical triangle base after a breakout gap.  Look for a breakout through 10.50.

Gold Stock Update 6-3-09

In Stock Movers on June 3, 2009 at 6:35 pm

A few days ago (please see my archived post from 5/31/09) we mentioned be careful of chasing the gold sector as it is quite overbought.  We also mentioned to wait for a retracement to the 20 or 50 day moving average.  This is what is happening a retracement to shake out weak holders.  Our students and long term followers have been following Taseko for a few months.  Today thestreet.com had a video on it.  So the mainstream is now picking it up which concerns me as that means we will probably have a pullback.

http://cosmos.bcst.yahoo.com/up/player/popup/?rn=289004&cl=13794899&src=finance&ch=633473

UXG (U.S. Gold)

In Stock Movers on June 2, 2009 at 11:23 pm

We posted a morning stock pick at 2.49.  The stock was up over 10% with volume three times normal.  Breaking through 2.75 will be impressive and lead to huge gains.  It seems institutions are looking at exploration companies.  The major companies may need to aquire smaller juniors with interesting exploration activity as their profit margins are being squeezed.  U.S. Gold has quite an impressive land position and drill results may lead to more institutions buying shares.  Tomorrow they are having a conference in New York City.  It will be interesting to see what news they will release soon.

UXG 6-2-09

Chart Of Gold (Inverted Head and Shoulders)

In Market Analysis on June 1, 2009 at 10:11 pm

gld 6-1-09

This appears to be an inverted head and shoulders pattern which means that a break to the upside is highly probable.  Look for a breakout of the previous top with good volume.

Nasdaq Breakout

In Market Analysis on June 1, 2009 at 8:42 pm

qqq 6-1Since the March low the Nasdaq rally has lacked volume and appeared to make a rising wedge.  After a breakout to the downside on low volume the Nasdaq appeared to make a rectangle sideways pattern.  This battle between buyers and sellers was resolved today to the upside.  Today the Nasdaq broke out of resistance so buyers are in control where bad news is shrugged off and any good economic news sends stocks soaring.  At the moment we need to stay long and continue looking for the best trading opportunities.

GMO Update General Moly

In Stock Movers on June 1, 2009 at 6:06 pm

General Moly had a major follow through today closing near the high on huge volume.  If you were following since last Wednesday you would have a nice profit.  I believe this company could run to at least 4.25.   It seems as though institutions are piling into this stock.   China is importing molybdenum as their demand is increasing significantly and the markets worst case scenarios are in the rearview mirror.gmo 6-1

GMO General Moly Update

In Stock Movers on June 1, 2009 at 12:10 am

Last week we gave a morning update to anticipate a breakout at $2.  On Friday the stock catapulted through 2 to reach2.13 up 12% at more than 4 times normal volume.  What a breakout.

We are extremely bullish on molybdenum.  This element is used in so many industries and applications from refineries to nuclear reactors.  The main industrial use is strengthening steel which is crucial as many emerging markets are investing in infrastructure.

This company General Moly has a huge project called Mt. Hope which is one of the largest undeveloped moly mines in the world. GMO was beaten down due to the credit crisis and the financing situation.  However, it has gotten my interest and I believe it is showing us that it is getting a lot of interest from institutions as well.

gmo 5-29

NGD New Gold Update

In Stock Movers on May 31, 2009 at 10:37 pm

Last week we wrote on the blog about New Gold and the opportunity the chart was presenting to us.  We put a buy point at $2.50.  On Friday it closed at $3.10 which was a 24% gain for our followers.  This was a breakaway gap as it broke out of a base on more than three times normal volume.  Breakaway gaps usually do not fill.  As the mining sector is overbought there might be opportunities to buy NGD at a cheaper price if there is some overall weakness.  Otherwise this is a classic breakaway gap which usually preceded major moves to the upside.  So to all our students who got in when we posted are in a great postion.

ngd 5-29

Market Summary Week Ending 5/29/09

In Market Analysis on May 31, 2009 at 9:54 pm

spy 5-29The S&P 500 remains above the 20 and 50 day moving average.  The S&P has moved sideways making a base after breaking out to the downside of a rising wedge pattern.  This rally has been on low volume.  So this rise has been on the back of other factors such as a seriously declining dollar,  a bear market in treasuries and a major rally in the emerging markets.

If you remember when the stock market crashed last year everyone was running into treasuries and the dollar.  Now the opposite is the case people are running out of treasuries and cash.  The stock markets have rallied and companies with real commodity assets are soaring.  It seems as though the opinion that a deflation will precede inflation has been confirmed.

The dollar was hit hard on Friday leading to a huge rally in gold mining stocks and basic materials.  GDX 5-29As you can see the rally is impressive, however it is extended.  Investors need to be cautious in chasing after this sector.

Last week I showed the chart of TBT which is the short etf fund and I mentioned not to get to excited and wait for a pullback.  That pullback has come and from the high volume sell off it seems as though the pull back could take longer as it is extremely overbought.  I would wait until it approaches the 50 day moving average before taking new positions.

tbt 5-29

The rally in China is strong and hope has come back that the worst is over which has caused a major upturn in commodity industrial stocks.  As you can see the I Shares Hong Kong is much more impressive than the US indices.  Other emerging markets such as Brazil and India are also outperforming.

ewh 5-29

That’s it for this week.

New Gold (NGD) Great Buy

In Stock Movers on May 28, 2009 at 2:51 pm

This is a great point to buy New Gold.  They have just combined with Western Goldfields.  They will produce enough gold to be able to fund their  development project in British Columbia called New Afton.  This project has close to a billion pounds of copper.  When buying a gold company making sure you have the management to grow and finance a company is crucial.  They have the top minds in the field behind this company.  Buying here at 2.50 is a great point to get in.

Taseko is Up on Higher Volume

In Stock Movers on May 28, 2009 at 1:38 pm

The volume is good on Taseko above average today to qualify as a breakout.  Let’s hope it closes at the high of the day as more investors pile in and recognize the breakout.

Morning Stock Pick General Moly (GMO)

In Stock Movers on May 28, 2009 at 9:35 am

gmo 5-26Genereal Moly has one of the largest undeveloped molybdenum mines in North America.  Moly is necessary for high strength steel which is used in many industrial applications such as oil drilling and nuclear reactors.  Demand is growing again as the economy is bottoming out in China and in other emerging markets.  A breakout through $2 on volume will catapult this stock to $5.  Arcelor mittal put a lot of money into this company and I wouldn’t be surprised if they got a takeover bid at this level from Thompson Creek Metals.

Taseko (TGB)

In Stock Movers on May 28, 2009 at 9:27 am

It is crucial to look for a follow through on yesterday’s huge volume rise.  Today will give many investors another chance to get in before the next leg up.

Retirement Crisis

In Market Analysis on May 28, 2009 at 8:57 am

“Our nation’s system of retirement security is imperiled, headed for a serious train wreck. That wreck is not merely waiting to happen; we are running on a dangerous track that is leading directly to a serious crash that will disable major parts of our retirement system.”

– John Bogle, Feb. 24, 2009

Many people we come across tell me they are invested in the market with a financial adviser and they don’t even look at what they are invested in are how they are invested.  They place their hard earned money in load mutual funds where they pay huge fees in ignorant bliss.

So many have lost their retirement or as Madoff has shown these so called advisors are emperors with no clothes.  Buy and hold investors have been destroyed or in some cases duped.

In this blog we highlight specific companies that are breaking out using technical analysis.  Technical analysis gives one of the tools to know which direction the market is going.  We look at price and volume.  We also look at key fundamentals of a company that has the ability to grow.   Staying on the right side of the trend and managing risk is crucial to make good returns and have a retirement.

Finding small companies that are about to grow exponentially gives one the opportunity to make huge gains.  Please follow along as we recommend low priced companies that are about to explode higher.  I’m sure you won’t regret it.  We do our research, we take chances, and we admit when a trade or stock has went against us and we preserve capital.  Straight talk…no double talk from other so called financial experts.

Watch for Higher Interest Rates

In Market Analysis on May 28, 2009 at 8:11 am

TBT 5-28

This chart is showing the short long term treasury ETF.  What TBT is showing is that higher long term interest rates and risk of inflation is here.  Look at the breakout on May 7th and the beautiful retest at the 20 day moving average to give a secondary buypoint.  Interest rates will be rising and prices of treasuries will continue to decline.  If you want to follow this trade look for a pullback to the 20 day moving average or around $53.

Market Summary May 26th 2009

In Market Analysis on May 27, 2009 at 6:09 pm

nasdaq May26

The Nasdaq remains above its moving averages despite have light volume to support it.  It is concerning because Nasdaq and Dow Jones appears to making a descending triangle pattern after a rising wedge formation.  A break on volume at this point would cause the indexes to retest the March low.  It would be nice to see some volume on a break down to 82.25 on the DJIA Diamonds and 32.75 on the Nasdaq to confirm the descending triangle.  The lack of volume on this run up from March is quite concerning.