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Posts Tagged ‘gold ascending triangle’

Gold Miners On Verge Of Major Breakout. Cup and Handle Pattern/Ascending Triangle.

In Market Analysis on August 27, 2010 at 7:09 pm

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The global debt crisis and the war on deflation by the Federal Reserve is causing more producers to find ways to invest their cash.  This low interest rate environment which may continue for some time will force producers whom are sitting on large cash positions to acquire more reserves.  Mergers and acquisitions in the mining sector have increased over this past year due to a lack of major discoveries as well as supply and demand changes in emerging economies.

We have seen a trend of investments from Asia to purchase stakes in mining companies.  In 2009 the Chinese Investment Corporation, a state owned company, took large ownership positions in Teck Cominco and Penn West Energy Trust. Recently in June, China National Nuclear signed a contract with Cameco to supply 23 million pounds of uranium.  Hanlong Investments took a large stake in General Moly, one of the leading North American molybdenum developers.  Korea Electric Power signed a deal with Denison Mines another uranium developer. Sojitz bought a 25% interest in the Taseko’s Gibraltar Copper Mine. Then recently we saw BHP Billiton trying to make a deal with Potash Corp. and Kinross, a large producer buying Redback, an exploration company.  This trend should continue through 2011.

Investors should be studying the companies that are receiving premiums and position themselves accordingly to make potentially large profits. Junior mining companies that are sitting on large assets that are still relatively cheap or overlooked should be considered.   There are still many companies with strong assets that are trading way below value.  This is an exciting and highly profitable time for the companies with assets close to production in the mining sector.

For producers it is more efficient to acquire explorers to replace their reserves rather than rely on their own exploration team.  I am focussing on the junior mining sector whom are close to production rather than the large producers as they will receive large premiums on their assets.

Following the mining sector on a daily basis the evidence of keen interest to acquire resources is apparent.  There is a search for real assets and natural resources.  Foreign countries are looking for natural resources to diversify their holdings and supply their emerging economies. Large mining producers are searching for replaceable reserves of gold, silver and industrial metals.  As the U.S. attempts to reflate their economy at all costs, precious metals and natural resource assets should receive a premium.

The Gold Miners are close to a major cup and handle breakout.  It also appears to have set up an ascending triangle pattern.  A breakout from this pattern could lead a major move into new high territory.

The strong trend in gold miners is signaling that interest rates will stay low as the Federal Reserve makes every attempt to reflate the economy.  Precious metals prices should stay high which would make producing mining companies highly profitable.

Disclosure: Long Gold and Silver Mining Stocks

Market Makes Move Above 200 Day on Higher Volume

In Market Analysis on June 15, 2010 at 8:20 pm

Today the major indices made an important move to regain the 200 day moving average and clear resistance on higher volume.  After making 2 previous attempts to cross the 200 day the markets are appearing to have made a successful double bottom.  The double bottom pattern would be more confirmed if the volume on today’s breakout was above average.

Nevertheless, it was higher than the previous day which means the bulls have won the short term battle and are in charge.

Also the Dow made a double top breakout on the point and figure and a break of a trend line.

Many leading stocks are showing bearish signal reversals on today’s rally which means it may have legs especially aerospace and defense stocks as the Middle Eastern Situation between Iran and Israel intensifies.  Any short positions need to be covered and additional buy recommendations will be coming shortly.

The rally was good for gold today and I expect a breakout to new highs shortly.  Gold is making an ascending triangle and I expect a breakout to new highs in the short term.  $122.50 would be the next breakout with a measured move expected to $137.5.