Mining for Winners in Any Market

Posts Tagged ‘classic chart patterns’

Second Failure of 50 Day Moving Average, Possible Shorting Opportunity

In Market Analysis on June 21, 2010 at 6:31 pm

Get a FREE 30-Day Trial of my Members-Only Premium Stock Analysis Service NOW!

There are key points and days to consider heavily when following markets and deciding which direction to play.  If you study charts you are able to see patterns that repeat themselves over and over again.

One key shorting opportunity that I have seen before major market declines is the second failure of the 50 day moving average.  Today’s nasty reversal where it closed down after being up for most of the day fits this criteria especially when it coincides with the failure of the 50 day moving average.

The volume was above average and this leads me to once again be bearish on the market.  Now is the time to short or buy inverse etf’s such as REW or SH to protect against another decline.  It is not wise to be long this market.  Trailing stops should be monitored closely.  Now is the time to short not when the market reaches new lows.

Gold mining stocks will be monitored closely.

Stay tuned.

Buy U.S. Gold (UXG) Price Moving Higher After Cup and Handle Breakout

In Stock Movers on June 10, 2010 at 4:22 pm

The cup and handle breakout is a classic pattern which stock market traders search for constantly. A cup and handle pattern means that the stock has made a consolidation where many of the weaker holders sell their shares. Then as the stock breaks into new highs a handle is formed. It is formed because many investors who bought at the previous high are now trying to get back the capital that was initially invested at the previous high. Then a handle is formed. A handle should move sideways or slightly down so investors who bought at the previous high can get back their capital. Once this handle is completed the stock has very little selling pressure and buyers now gain control and push the stock into new highs. Many times the percentage gains are impressive.

Sometimes a stock forms a triangular pennant after a breakout as in the case of U.S. Gold (UXG). These triangular pattern in a handle are bullish and provide investors an opportunity to get in before a major run.

My ideal buy point is after the breakout of the cup when the handle pulls back to key support.  Right now is a good opportunity to add shares before a breakout at $4.31.

There are four upcoming events that could make this stock move.

1) 20 drilled hole results from El Gallo in 2 weeks.

2) El Gallo Initial Resource Estimate in 4 weeks.

3)Additional Results From Regional Exploration in 6 weeks.

4)El Gallo Economic Assessment by year end.

I am excited by the results coming out in mid July from the regional exploration.  UXG invested a lot into Mexico this year knowing that this land package could contain a massive amount of silver.  I am excited for the next few weeks both from a technical and fundamental perspective.